Mumbai tops I&L supply in India

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Mumbai tops I&L supply in India with 3.2 million sq. ft. of project completions in H1 2022.

CBRE South Asia Pvt. Ltd, India’s leading real estate consulting firm, today announced the findings of its latest Industrial & Logistics report, ‘CBRE Industrial & Logistics Figures H1 2022’. Mumbai topped the I&L supply with 3.2 million sq. ft. of development completions and saw about 2.3 million sq. ft. of space take-up in H1 2022.

Among the industry segments in the Mumbai, 3PL firms drove leasing with a share of about 65%, followed by life sciences players (12%) and engineering & manufacturing firms (9%).

Key lease transactions recorded in the city were:

• Stellar Value Chain Solutions leasing 250,000 sq. ft. in Millennium Logistics Park
• Reliance Life Sciences leasing 250,000 sq. ft. in Antariksh Logipark
• CG Marketing leasing 112,000 sq. ft. in Global Logistics Park

Ascendas India Trust invested about USD 28 million in an asset of Arshiya Group in Mumbai. Further, led by increase in demand from occupiers, rental values appreciated on a half-yearly basis by about 5-7% in Navi Mumbai – Panvel and Taloja during H1 2022. Led by expansion from 3PL occupiers, large-sized deal closures dominated space take-up in H1 2022.

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Other City Highlights:

Bangalore half-yearly leasing outpaced supply; 3PL a key demand driver

• Small- to medium- sized deals dominated absorption in H1 2022.
• Key sectors that drove absorption included 3PL (67%), retail (18%) and engineering & manufacturing (5%).

Hyderabad supply picked up pace; Northern Corridor led space take-up

• Small-sized deals dominated absorption in H1 2022, led by 3PL players.
• Rents rose by about 23-25% in Northern Corridor in Hyderabad and about 5-12% across other micro-markets of Hyderabad.

Delhi-NCR led overall leasing in H1 2022; 3PL players drove space take-up

• Key sectors that drove absorption included 3PL (34%), retail (20%) and engineering & manufacturing (17%).
• Absorption increased in Kundli / Murthal (NH-1).

Chennai absorption outpaced supply

• 3PL (44%) and engineering & manufacturing (42%) players drove space take-up, followed by auto & ancillary (11%).
• Absorption increased in Western Corridor – II and Northern Corridor.

Pune’s 3PL players drove absorption in H1 2022

• Key sectors driving absorption included 3PL (73%), electronics & electricals (25%) and e-commerce (2%).
• Rents rose by 8-10% in Chakan – Talegaon in Pune, due to sustained demand for investment-grade assets.

Kolkata significant uptick witnessed in both supply and leasing

• Small- to medium-sized deals dominated absorption in H1 2022, led by space take-up along NH-6.
• Key sectors that drove absorption included retail (33%), engineering & manufacturing (22%) and electronics & electricals (16%).

Ahmedabad supply and leasing improved in H1 2022

• Large-sized transactions dominated absorption in H1 2022, led by deals concluded in Changodar.
• Key sectors that drove absorption included engineering & manufacturing (51%), followed by auto & ancillary (27%) and 3PL (22%).

The report findings reveal I&L sector leasing in India registered a dip of about 9% (Y-o-Y) and stood 12.8 million sq. ft. during the first half of the year. On a pan India basis, the space take-up was down by 17% on a half-yearly basis compared to 15 million sq. ft. recorded in H2 2021. However, the report highlighted that leasing activity would improve as continued land acquisition and development completions are lined up in H2 2022. Overall, on a pan India basis, the sector attracted about USD 144 million across greenfield and brownfield assets from both global and domestic players during H1 2022.

Anshuman Magazine, Chairman & CEO – India, South-East Asia, Middle East & Africa, CBRE said “While global supply chain pressures are easing, we anticipate occupiers to continue to follow ‘just-in-case’ strategies alongside ‘just-in-time’ ones to maintain agility. Increased focus on upgradation / expansion opportunities in tier I cities; new market penetration in lower tier cities and extension of local distribution networks in emerging logistics hubs are expected to drive leasing in the future.”

Ram Chandnani, Managing Director, Advisory & Transactions Services, CBRE India said “Focus on operational efficiencies could lead to growth in ‘flight-to-quality’ leasing. In line with the demand, we anticipate development completions by organized players to increase. Capital flow is expected to continue from global and local players, with greenfield and brownfield acquisitions remaining attractive.”

Outlook & Trends 2022

Leasing sentiments to remain positive: Overall leasing in 2022 expected to touch 28-32 million sq. ft., with a growth of up to 12% Y-o-Y. Space take-up would be led by continued expansion of 3PL, e-commerce, engineering & manufacturing, retail and FMCG firms. Delhi-NCR, Bangalore, Mumbai and Chennai would continue to drive transaction activity, while markets including Ahmedabad, Kolkata and Pune are expected to witness increased momentum of leasing activity.

Supply addition to pick up pace: As supply chain bottlenecks have started to ease, project completions are expected to improve in H2 2022. Overall, about 25-28 million sq. ft. of new warehouses are estimated to become operational in 2022, registering a growth of up to 12% Y-o-Y. Supply addition is expected to be dominated by Mumbai, Delhi-NCR, Chennai and Bangalore.

Moving closer to key nodes: Occupiers are likely to continue to lease more space to cut down on transportation costs. E-commerce and 3PL players would thus prefer to take up space closer to consumer hubs. Moreover, 3PL occupiers dealing with cargo handling would focus on securing warehouses closer to key transportation nodes. Similarly, engineering and manufacturing players are likely to prefer warehouses in proximity to industrial hubs.

Labour-saving building technologies to rise: Occupiers and developers are likely to adopt a broad range of advancement automations with the support of Big Data analytics, sensors and Internet of Things (IoT)-powered technologies to reduce labour dependencies.

New-age supply to accommodate vertical storage: Warehousing facilities with features such as high ceilings to accommodate automated stacking systems, sufficient loading / unloading zones and power back-up provisions are likely to gain more traction.

Rental growth to continue: Sustained growth in rentals across the cities is expected, owing to increased space take-up and addition of investment-grade supply. Rental growth in key micro-markets across cities would continue in H2 2022, especially, in investment-grade, tech-enabled and strategically located assets.